- water cycle changes in the Montenegro area;
- river runoff variability in particular for the Bojana river;
- sediment transport changes in coastal area;
- coastal water quality changes.
In the second year of the Project the downscaling of IPCC climate scenario has been performed from a resolution of 1.125° to a resolution of 0.25°, in order to have the atmospherical inputs to force all the numerical models under climate change scenarios in the time slice 2001-2030.
An analysis of the differences between ECMWF atmospheric forcings and these downscaled atmospheric forcings is also being carried on for the overlapping period (2001- 2008) in order to find correction coefficients to make the future climate change scenarios atmospheric forcings more realistic.
Beside this activity, the majority of the work of this WP is scheduled for the last year of the project, when basically all the integrated models of WP5 will be projected into the future to investigate the impact of climate change in the four fields cited above.
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| Changes of mean surface air temperatures (upper panel) for period 2001-2030 compared to base period 1961-1990 (in degrees) for seasons December January February, and June July August, and changes in percentage mean accumulated precipitation (lower panels) for the same period and seasons. |
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